Bitcoin Could Surpass Gold with Potential 50% Price Increase by March

The Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold Indicates Significant Price Potential

Bitcoin may surpass gold by 2026, as increased liquidity and cycle fractals suggest a rally that could propel BTC prices to $144,000. The correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and gold has reached zero for the first time since mid-2022 and might turn negative by the end of January.

Historically, the divergence between BTC and gold has often preceded strong Bitcoin rallies. Liquidity trends and cycle fractals indicate that BTC is set to lead towards a price target between $144,000 and $150,000. Reviewing four comparable past instances, Bitcoin has averaged a 56% increase approximately two months after its correlation with gold turned negative.

Despite the current optimistic configuration driven by multiple macroeconomic factors, including increased global liquidity, Matt Hougan, head of research at Bitwise Asset Management, noted that "Bitcoin's bullish markets have typically aligned with periods of rising global liquidity." However, in 2025, gold experienced a 65% increase under similar macroeconomic conditions while Bitcoin yields remained nearly stable. Hougan added that while gold and Bitcoin occasionally move in tandem, their long-term correlation is only slightly positive, suggesting Bitcoin could enhance risk-adjusted returns in a portfolio.

Crypto analyst Tuur Demeester emphasized that "accelerated money printing remains a significant factor favoring Bitcoin" in 2026. A 56% rally could elevate BTC prices to the $144,000-$150,000 range. According to an analysis, Bitcoin’s current structure is similar to its cycle from 2020-2021, showing signs of accumulation and a potential parabolic advance that could replicate the previous surge towards $70,000.

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