Sygnum Predicts Bitcoin Sovereign Reserves Surge and Tokenization Adoption by 2026

Sygnum Predicts Surge in Bitcoin Sovereign Reserves by 2026

A recent report from crypto banking group Sygnum anticipates that U.S. regulations on cryptocurrencies will drive sovereign reserves of Bitcoin and the issuance of tokenized bonds by major financial institutions. It is estimated that at least three G20 economies or their equivalents will publicly add Bitcoin to their sovereign reserves.

According to Sygnum, early adoption of Bitcoin by countries facing "acute monetary distortions," such as Brazil, Japan, Germany, Hong Kong, and Poland, could transform Bitcoin into a global reserve asset. For instance, Brazil's Chamber of Deputies discussed a national Bitcoin reserve proposal in August 2025, while legislators in Hong Kong suggested adding Bitcoin as a national reserve in December 2024.

The report emphasizes that the adoption of sovereign reserves could help Bitcoin close the gap with gold, with projections suggesting an increase in Bitcoin's market capitalization from 6% to 25%. This would imply a Bitcoin value ranging between $350,000 and $400,000.

Additionally, Sygnum forecasts that traditional financial institutions will adopt blockchain infrastructure in their core operations, with up to 10% of new bonds issued by large institutions being tokenized. This evolution will create significant opportunities for investors and reduce operational costs in financial transactions.